Arbitrage betting — or “sure betting” — is a method where you place bets on all possible outcomes of a match using different bookmakers to guarantee a profit. It works by taking advantage of small differences in odds. While it’s not easy to master, it’s legal in Kenya and many smart bettors use it with success.
Arbitrage betting works by placing bets on all possible outcomes of an event at different bookmakers who offer significantly varied odds. You profit when the combined implied probability of all outcomes is under 100%.
How to check for an arbitrage opportunity: Use the formula:
(1/odds1) + (1/odds2). If the total is less than 1.00, you've found a profit window.
Bookmaker A: Player A to win – 2.30
Bookmaker B: Player B to win – 1.80
(1 / 2.30) + (1 / 1.80) = 0.4348 + 0.5555 = 0.9903 →rel Arbitrage opportunity ✔️
Bookmaker A: Home win – 2.60
Bookmaker B: Draw – 3.60
Bookmaker C: Away win – 3.20
(1 / 2.60) + (1 / 3.60) + (1 / 3.20) = 0.3846 + 0.2777 + 0.3125 = 0.9748 → Arbitrage opportunity ✔️
These opportunities exist in fast-moving markets, especially during line shifts. Smart bettors use tools or software to track them live.
Not sure how to split your stake for guaranteed profit? Use our free Arbitrage Betting Calculator to calculate the exact amount to bet on each outcome. It works for 2-way and 3-way markets and helps you lock in profits.
Not all platforms are ideal for arbing. You need bookmakers with: